May
24
I’m launching a new site for all the quant developers/finance nerds out there who want to develop/backtest/optimize/implement their automated trading systems via Matlab (and Interactive Brokers Trader Work Station API). The URL is tradingwithmatlab.com.
To my loyal readers, don’t worry I will still be putting the same type of content up on domenicstrazzulla.com!
The basics of tradingwithmatlab.com are pretty much in place at this point – there is a cool forum and wiki as well as some static content and best practices. The site came out of what I felt was a need for a central repository for up to date information (that is where the wiki is especially helpful) on trading with Matlab. I went through a real hardship trying to aggregate the information I needed, and I wanted to minimize the friction/misinformation/deprecated techniques for other traders.
Check out the site and enjoy!
Oil has fallen quite a bit from its July highs and so have practically all the companies in the black crack sector. Despite the large money flows out of the Texas Tea space, one oil company in particular has been catching my eye lately, Diamond Offshore drilling. Diamond Offshore drilling is the second largest renter of offshore rigs, with 30 semisubmersible rigs, 15 jackup rigs and one drillship (currently working off the coast of Brazil).
I know what you are probably thinking, “Aren’t oil companies cutting back on exploration and drilling?” While oil companies are less eager to find oil with prices at 50 dollars a barrel then they were when prices were 150 dollars per barrel, Diamond Offshore drilling has managed to tie up most of their fleet for the next few years. As of 09/08 DO had 97% of its fleet booked for 2009 and 77% of its fleet booked for 2010. The company has 11.5 billion dollars in backlog which contract dates spanning until 2013.
In addition to that I want you to look at an event that happened last December. A customer of DO’s canceled their rig contract (which was slated for 500k per day). It only took 2 weeks for DO to find new customers to take the rig, and the contract was signed at 520k per day, a rate higher than that of their cancelled customer. To me that is a very positive signal.
Diamond Offshore Drilling operates in a very high economic moat business, with operating margins of 54% and a profit margin of 37%. Moreover, DO pays a nice dividend which works out to be about a 10% yield, depending on the special dividends, and I see no reason why they would stop paying that yield anytime soon given their newbuild program is nearing completion and they have very strong free cash flow. Furthermore, DO has 740 million in cash on hand with a paltry 503 million in debt. The stock also sports an earnings multiple of 7.5 and a very nice Return on Equity of 42%.
With oil in contago mode (futures prices sloping upward) and high utilization rates coupled with a healthy backlog I think Diamond Offshore Drilling is worth taking a look at.
Disclose -Long DO options
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